In October 2018, I wrote “By this time in 2022, APC will select Bola Tinubu as the presidential flagbearer of the party for Election 2023.” In more than 9 subsequent posts on APC nomination, I had maintained that it was going for Tinubu. I did tip Vice President this morning expecting a bulldozing moment from Buhari; that did not happen.
Seriously, while we are yet to know the winner, my model has been Senator Tinubu or someone from the North but never Vice President Osinbajo. Why? Look at the most classified document in this process: delegate distribution. Yes, the actual version which is actually being used. It was re-engineered; a senator sent it to me three days ago. I am not sure you have seen it!
In that new list, Kano has 132 delegates; Lagos was assigned 60 delegates (not a typo); 3 per local government area. As a friend senator from North West wrote “Tinubu has Governor Ganduje and those Kano delegates are loyal to him. He has a real edge”. This was the original structure of the delegates.
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People, if you add all the delegates in SW, Kano alone will give them a real fight. That is the political sagacity of Tinubu; he is winning this via Kano. And getting APC to have that unbelievable misalignment where Lagos state, the most populous state in Nigeria, was assigned half of Kano State delegates, does mean BAT inherited at least Lagos from Lord Lugard – and could extend that soon!
(Voting is still ongoing of course)
Comment on Feed
Comment 1: I will like you to get it right when it involves the man with BA in Philosophy from Anambra who didnt leave any sustainable infrastructure and is now talking like a Chinese trader with the promise to rebuild Nigeria. Let his charity begin from home
My Response: You have not added any value via this comment. Why can’t Nigerians discuss ideas instead of insult. If the insult is for Peter Obi, I can defend him by saying I wish I studied Philosophy (instead of engineering) and at the age of 40 was rich to own a bank and became a Chairman of a bank. On “infrastructure”, Obi took Anambra from 17th on WAEC to top3 per capita in 6 years. In JAMB, he took Anambra from #19 to top3 per capita. He took Anambra literacy from 76% to 92.11%. How is that not sustainable infrastructure? Anambra has more JAMBITES per capita than 90% of Nigerian states.
Ahead on 2023 – The Bola Tinubu and David Umahi Presidential Ticket
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