Despite what we have in the books now, it seems the Central Bank of Nigeria has found another point for the Naira: “The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Godwin Emefiele advised investors in the U.K that he expects the true value of the naira to be between N430-440 to the dollar. Mr. Emefiele made this comment in a Webinar organized by the Standard Bank of Africa (parent company of Stanbic IBTC Nigeria). According to sources who attended the event on Monday, Mr Emefiele told participants that the current exchange rate at the parallel market was between N430-440/$1 and not the black-market rate which closed at about N500/$1.”
In an apparent attempt to woo foreign investments, the CBN Governor also encouraged foreign investors to reconsider their waning interest in Nigerian Equities suggesting that some of the stocks were undervalued. Nigeria’s capital importation data into equities was just $755 million in the whole of 2020 compared to $1.8 billion in 2019.
Nigeria needs the foreign investors desperately into the economy as whenever they show interest in our stock market, numbers move. Yet, it is really challenging for the investors since if the Naira continues to move negatively in the forex market, taking mid to long term positions will become harder. This is compounded by the foreign reserves which have gone down to a four year low. If that trajectory does not change, another currency devaluation would be on the way.
Tough decisions coming early in Q3 2021 for the nation and it would be really challenging. Sure, crude oil price is showing positive signs and if happens at high volume, we could buy a few more months.
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Meanwhile, the Nigerian government has inaugurated the National Steering Committee (NSC) of the National Poverty Reduction with Growth Strategy (NPRGS), with the aim to lift 100 million Nigerians out of poverty. The Chairman of the committee is the Vice President. This committee will establish a private equity fund, the Nigeria Investment and Growth Fund (NIG-Fund), to lead resource mobilisation drive and manage its resources. Besides this playbook, Nigeria needs to work to stabilize the Naira. If we keep the Naira fairly stable, investment capital will arrive, and government will not even need to expand bureaucracy.
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What is Poverty Reduction, and why does it need another layer of bureaucracy? Create wealth, and poverty will naturally go down. We just like reinventing old tricks that don’t really solve problems.
Job creators should be the ones handling this kind of discussion, and not government officials. It’s those who do things that inspire and shape policies, not government creating policies and asking people to fall in line.
We keep managing like a terminal ailment, we are yet to prove our greatness on anything.
All talk, no capabilities.
All we need is quality industrial policy then all would work.
The CBN naira-dollar recent comment has shown that the mainstream product cost that has gone skyrocketed are not coming down anytime soon. Crazy fellows.