On March 12, 2022, I wrote “It is very painful but I project that Ukraine’s capital, Kyiv, will likely fail by Thursday, March 17 2022, using the average miles per day Russia is capturing, unless something stops them”. I also added “I can change my opinion depending on what I see on reporting… I am simply using data to extrapolate, nothing more. This is not physics.”
For many who do not know that I get many things wrong, they keep reminding me that Kyiv is still standing. Thanks for even thinking that I would be right! People, Ndubuisi is wrong – that should end it. I have already explained on March 22, 2022 on that piece; I archive all posts at Tekedia.
“In Kiev, physically I was wrong but policy-wise, Kiev actually “fell”. I have stopped writing about this war. Why? The war “ended” on the 15th when Ukrainian leader agreed that Ukraine would not join NATO. (A shift from we have the right to choose the direction of our future).
Tekedia Mini-MBA edition 15 (Sept 9 – Dec 7, 2024) has started registrations; register today for early bird discounts.
Tekedia AI in Business Masterclass opens registrations here.
Join Tekedia Capital Syndicate and invest in Africa’s finest startups here.
That acknowledgment would have closed everything except that Russia moved the goalpost. Russia now wants to make Crimea annexation permanent and annex the Donbass region – and link both via Mariupol (the “hell” right now) ,(Read Putin’s phone call with Turkey president).
Today, President Z was even clearer: “It’s a compromise for everyone: for the West, which doesn’t know what to do with us with regard to NATO, for Ukraine, which wants security guarantees, and for Russia, which doesn’t want further NATO expansion… We have heard for years that the doors were open, but we also heard that we could not join. It’s a truth and it must be recognized,” Zelenskyy said.
Across all points which triggered the war and which Russia requested, Ukraine has agreed to nearly all. But the problem is that Russia has added more. So, Ukraine policy-wise fell before 17th even though militarily that is not the case. Putin is being wicked now for destroying when he has gotten nearly all!]”
Let’s move on from it; Ndubuisi is wrong. Do not keep reminding me of that. It is not physics. It is a war; time will tell but as it stands, I do not know why they are still fighting after Ukraine has largely agreed to most things Russia originally demanded including a “neutral” state. But do not count out testing new weapons as part of R&D by Russia and NATO, on Ukraine.
---
Register for Tekedia Mini-MBA (Sept 9 – Dec 7, 2024), and join Prof Ndubuisi Ekekwe and our global faculty; click here.