No matter what you do, model that there is a high likelihood that the world could embark on a major military confrontation, between NATO and Russia, on Ukraine. Since Feb 2022, the convergence has been coming together.
NATO will be sending cluster bombs to Ukraine, and when that happens Russia will introduce another layer. And NATO will also respond. From shovels to javelin, to tanks, to now cluster bombs, the destination is clear: someone will soon deploy tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine.
Good People, if you invest in the public stock exchange, take time to look at your positions because markets will crash. Unless there is a miracle, bad things will happen by 2024 because this war in Ukraine will distort the stable state of Europe, and that will wipe out wealth. In a market call this morning, the conversation was about how cluster bombs usage at scale would affect the performance of markets – and the conclusion was clear: wait to see what Russia plans to do.
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As a village boy, I know nothing of war but what I do know is that NATO will not like to lose, and Russia will not like to lose, and if that remains, the implication is that something bad will happen at scale.
I am worried because everything now is being justified by all the parties which means no one can predict the next action. Peace to the world. We wish this war stops because there are still many ways to demonstrate a global competition; we have many poor countries around.
Comment on Feed
Comment 1: Prof. Nuclear Radiation is not a normal weapon. It is not possible that a nuclear facility gets indiscriminately destroyed and that attack remains an attack on the immediate area of the site.
It is an attack on any nation that experiences Nuclear Fallout.
If Russia attack this particular facility in Ukraine, it is beyond doubt it will constitute a direct attack on NATO nations.
It doesn’t behove NATO to just invoke article 5, or invoke article 5 and then some.
It obligates NATO to invoke article 5 and then some, and then everything including the kitchen sink, and then with a cherry on top.
My Response: You made my point – you cannot predict who attacks first. NATO can justify its actions just like Russia can justify its own actions, at all levels. The issue here is that the world does not have an adult. If you use cluster bombs and kill 10k Russian soldiers, one guy can send the bad bomb to Ukraine. Then NATO responds, and Moscow activates strategic nuclear weapons.
There are 3 great military countries – US, Russia and China – because they can make weapons at any scale and they have a large population. (You can add the UK and France but their economic positions make them weak). These 3 countries can justify anything anytime and that is the danger.
Russia should just withdraw its troops and Ukraine should be humble enough to trade off Crimea.
This is the only logical solution to the war.
Allow Russia keep Crimea & Ukraine keep its borders intact… Russia withdraws and the war ends.
— Chibuzoo (@Oparaukwu) July 7, 2023
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Do we have any person in the whole world that when he/she speaks, everyone listens? If there is none, then asking for peace will be pointless. Nothing surprises humanity anymore, so if we end up destroying part of what make us who we are, those who survive can rebuild and tell their children what they witnessed.
What is the essence of stockpiling nuclear weapons if nobody is courageous enough to use them? If we have all gone bonkers, then let someone drop off the first bomb. We make a lot of noise, even when we are not ready for the consequences.
The war will end when the weapons are exhausted or a party gets tired, then we can draw conditions for peace.
We build and destroy, that is what humans have always done, so we will be fine, whatever happens.